CBB Tuesday Picks: Roll With the UNC Over, Duke Under


We are just one week into the 2021-22 college basketball season, but we already have a grasp on how some teams will play on the hardwood.

The College of Charleston boasts one of the most exciting teams you do not know about yet. The Cougars hired Pat Kelsey away from Winthrop in the offseason and they play at one of the fastest paces in college basketball.

Charleston gets a chance to showcase its offense on a national stage on Tuesday night, when the North Carolina Tar Heels come to TD Bank Arena.

North Carolina showed in its Friday win over Brown that is susceptible to a high points concession and Charleston is the perfect team to take advantage of that.

The Over in the UNC-Charleston game is high for a reason, but it can certainly be hit with the way both teams play.

Below is a further breakdown of that game and a few other plays I have for the Tuesday college basketball slate.

Tuesday CBB Plays

Overall Record: 7-12 (1-3 Monday)

Miami at Florida Atlantic (Over 144.5) (6 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network)

Miami (36th) and Florida Atlantic (26th) rank inside the top 40 in offensive two-point percentage.

FAU is also 12th in free-throw percentage after Monday. The Owls went 35-for-41 at the charity stripe in their first two games. Their opener was a 99-92 loss to New Mexico and they played a non-Division 1 opponent in the next contest.

Both teams also rank in the mid 200s on KenPom in defensive two-point percentage. Miami is coming off a 95-89 loss to UCF in which it allowed the Knights to shoot 50 percent from the field.

FAU has an opportunity to keep the game close and cover as well if Miami continues to struggle with its defending.

UNC Wilmington at Pittsburgh (-7) (7 p.m. ET, ACC Network Extra/ESPN+)

I faded Pittsburgh in its last outing against West Virginia and the Panthers beat me by the hook.

There should not be any bad beats in progress at the Petersen Events Center on Tuesday, as the Panthers face a UNC Wilmington side that was projected to finish near the bottom of the CAA.

UNCW ranks 335th out of 358 teams in effective field goal percentage, per KenPom. The Seahawks shot 33.8 percent from the field and committed 26 fouls in their lone game against a D1 foe.

Pitt suffered an inexcusable loss to The Citadel in its opener and it showed improvement as it shot 57.5 percent against West Virginia.

The problem with Pitt's shooting in Morgantown on Friday was that it was held to 40 field-goal attempts. Still, the Panthers should carry some confidence into Tuesday and they should play with more pride to avoid another embarrassment on its home court.

Yale (-3.5) at Siena (7 p.m. ET, ESPN3)

Do not let Yale's blowout loss at Seton Hall deter you from picking the Bulldogs tonight.

The Ivy League side should get back on track against Siena, who has been one of the most brutal teams to watch from an offensive perspective.

Siena averages 55 points per game and it scored a grand total of 110 points against Delaware and Saint Bonaventure.

Most of Siena's KenPom numbers are atrocious. The Saints are 296th in adjusted efficiency, 348th in two-point percentage and 247th in effective field goal percentage.

Yale is the better team on paper and it has motivation to rebound from a poor showing against a power-conference team.

Gardner Webb at Duke (Under 142.5) (7 p.m. ET, ACC Network Extra)

Even if the circumstances around Tuesday's game at Cameron Indoor Stadium were normal, I would consider the under.

We woke up on Tuesday to the news that Duke freshman star Paulo Banchero was charged with aiding and abetting DWI and Mike Krzyzewski's grandson, Michael Savarinio, was charged with a DWI, per the News and Observer.

There is no word on whether or not Banchero has been suspended as of 2 p.m. ET on Tuesday, but you have to think he will not play given his current situation.

Even if Banchero was on the floor, Duke could hold the game under on its own. The Blue Devils rank 12th in defensive efficiency and they are facing a Gardner-Webb team that has not hit the 70-point mark in two games.

Duke's last two games failed to reach the 140-point threshold because of its defense. It held Army and Campbell to 56 points each.

The Blue Devils should still win and they should not face much of a threat from the visiting Bulldogs.

North Carolina at Charleston (Over 162.5) (8:30 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network)

If you thought North Carolina was in trouble against Brown on Friday, just wait until you see what it will get into against Charleston in a true road game.

Charleston's hire of Pat Kelsey from Winthrop resulted in some offensive changes for the good. Charleston ranks second in adjusted tempo and it is averaging 90.3 points per game.

North Carolina won a 94-87 battle with Brown a few days ago and it comes into Tuesday shooting 52.1 percent from the field.

You should look forward to this matchup because of its high offensive potential and the possibility for UNC to get tested by an impressive mid-major squad.


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